美元/离岸人民币从一年低点反弹 – BBH
美元/离岸人民币从一年多来的低点反弹,因为中国人民银行设定了高于预期的汇率,表明对人民币升值的管理性支撑。更强的人民币可能有助于中国转向以消费为主导的增长,而美元/离岸人民币的下行趋势依然有效,BBH外汇分析师报告称。

美元/离岸人民币从一年多来的低点反弹,因为中国人民银行设定了高于预期的汇率,表明对人民币升值的管理性支撑。更强的人民币可能有助于中国转向以消费为主导的增长,而美元/离岸人民币的下行趋势依然有效,BBH外汇分析师报告称。

中国人民银行的汇率支持人民币升值

“美元/离岸人民币在7.0670附近走强,从昨日的一年多低点7.0540回升。中国人民银行(PBOC)通过高于预期的美元/人民币汇率管理人民币升值预期。美元/人民币的汇率设定为7.0733,而彭博社调查的预期为7.0569。汇率设定与预期之间的差距是自2022年2月以来最积极的(164点)。”

“在我们看来,人民币的持续升值可能有助于中国将其增长模式转向消费支出,通过更便宜的进口提高可支配收入。同时,中国可以容忍更强的货币,对制造业的损害有限,因为人民币仍然被严重低估。总之:美元/离岸人民币的下行趋势依然有效。”

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