纽元/美元在第三季度CPI数据喜忧参半后维持在周期性低点附近 – BBH
纽元/美元在上周周期性低点 0.5683 之上走势不明。BBH 外汇分析师报告称,新西兰第三季度消费者物价指数(CPI)数据喜忧参半

纽元/美元在上周的周期性低点0.5683上方无方向。新西兰第三季度CPI数据喜忧参半,BBH外汇分析师报告。

纽储行政策灵活性使纽元承压

“总体CPI环比上涨1.0%,略高于预期的0.9%,主要受房地产利率和相关服务的推动。同比来看,总体CPI与共识和纽储行预测一致,均为3.0%(自2024年第二季度以来的最高水平),而第二季度为2.7%。年通胀率的最大贡献者均来自住房和家庭公用事业组(电力、租金以及地方政府税费和支付)。”

“更重要的是,核心通胀在纽储行的1%至3%的目标范围内。这为纽储行提供了更多降息的空间,并对纽元构成了逆风。纽储行的部门因素模型连续第二个季度录得2.7%的同比增幅,核心通胀指标的平均水平在第三季度保持在2.5%左右。”

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