欧元:能源成本下降使欧元的贸易条件升至年度高点 – 荷兰国际集团
荷兰国际集团(ING)外汇分析师 Chris Turner 指出,欧洲天然气价格首次跌破每兆瓦时 30 欧元,提升了欧洲的贸易条件,并为其疲软的制造业提供了缓解。

欧洲天然气价格首次跌破30欧元/兆瓦时,自5月以来,提升了欧洲的贸易条件,并为其疲软的制造业提供了缓解,荷兰国际集团外汇分析师Chris Turner指出。

尽管基本面支持,欧元/美元仍徘徊在1.1500附近

"今早的头条新闻显示,欧洲天然气价格首次跌破30欧元/兆瓦时,自2024年5月以来。这对欧洲制造业来说是非常受欢迎的消息。此时,制造业继续对该地区的综合商业采购经理人指数造成压力,而德国正在考虑能源补贴。能源价格的下跌导致欧元的贸易条件指数上升至今年的最高水平——这对欧元来说是一个明显的积极发展。"

"我们有点惊讶看到欧元/美元仍然徘徊在1.1500附近——但也许投资者更愿意通过欧元/瑞士法郎表达看涨欧元的观点,而不是欧元/美元。不过,我们认为本周的事件可能会巩固欧元/美元在1.1500的支撑。如果乌克兰和平计划有任何进一步的积极进展,欧元/瑞士法郎可能会在年末市场的流动性减弱中轻松回升至0.9400/9450。"



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