日元：特朗普与高市早苗可能会面？ - 荷兰国际集团

日元：特朗普与高市早苗可能会面？ - 荷兰国际集团

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荷兰国际集团外汇分析师克里斯·特纳（Chris Turner）指出，特朗普总统可能在他的亚洲之行中会见日本新首相高市早苗。

荷兰国际集团外汇分析师克里斯·特纳（Chris Turner）指出，特朗普总统可能在他的亚洲之行中会见日本新首相高市早苗。

美国与日本政策的分歧使得美元/日元维持在高位

“关于美元/日元该怎么办？白宫希望其走低以纠正美国与日本的贸易赤字，而高市的假定政策对日元不利，给日本央行施加压力，不提高利率。关于这一点，周四将召开日本央行的利率会议，市场目前仅将加息的概率评估为10%。”

“我们看不到短期内会有什么因素使美元/日元走低——除非我们看到美元普遍走弱。然而，我们认为日本政策制定者会希望在美元/日元达到155-160区间时进行干预并抛售美元。作为参考，日本上次在2024年7月接近160时抛售美元/日元。”

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