英镑对美元持平,CPI后明显持稳 – 加拿大丰业银行
英镑(GBP)兑美元(USD)走势平稳,在G10货币中表现中等,正在1.3350附近窄幅盘整,加拿大丰业银行(Scotiabank)首席外汇策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-西奥雷特(Eric Theoret)报告称。

英镑(GBP)兑美元(USD)走势平稳,在G10货币中表现中等,正在1.3350附近窄幅盘整,加拿大丰业银行(Scotiabank)首席外汇策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-西奥雷特(Eric Theoret)报告称。

市场情绪有所恢复

“CBI情绪数据喜忧参半,市场参与者仍然关注英国央行(BoE),因为周三的CPI数据令人失望。英镑已经恢复了部分因周三CPI驱动的下跌,市场对BoE的预期也有所回升。然而,短期利率市场仍然偏向于BoE放松货币政策,定价在11月6日的下次会议上9个基点的政策宽松,到年底为17个基点,到明年9月累计为60个基点。”

“英国与美国的利差在周三暴跌后显示出稳定迹象,而风险反转则提供了潜在的支撑来源,因为期权市场显示出对英镑疲软的保护溢价持续减弱。最后,英国的财政状况仍然令人担忧,媒体对11月26日预算发布中可能包含的措施保持高度关注。”

“英镑的技术面总体上是中性的,随着其最近在1.3250附近的低点和上周五1.3450以上的高点之间的局部区间震荡而有所软化。相对强弱指数(RSI)呈看跌趋势,但仅是轻微的,正向40靠近。更广泛的趋势是中性的,反映出自5月底以来的平坦区间。50日移动平均线(1.3465)确认了缺乏趋势,自7月中旬以来已趋于平坦。我们预计近期将在1.33和1.34之间震荡。”

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