澳元/美元:豪瑟的偏鹰派立场支撑上涨 – OCBC
华侨银行(OCBC)外汇策略师Sim Moh Siong和Christopher Wong指出,澳大利亚储备银行(RBA)副行长Hauser的鹰派言论支持了澳元,尽管澳大利亚债券收益率下降显示利率市场仍然谨慎。该行已将其看涨观点延长,将2026年底的澳元/美元预测从0.69上调至0.73,同时强调外汇强势与OIS市场对进一步RBA加息的温和定价之间的脱节。

华侨银行(OCBC)外汇策略师Sim Moh Siong和Christopher Wong指出,澳大利亚储备银行(RBA)副行长Hauser的鹰派言论支持了澳元,尽管澳大利亚债券收益率下降显示利率市场仍然谨慎。该行已将其看涨观点延长,将2026年底的澳元/美元预测从0.69上调至0.73,同时强调外汇强势与OIS市场对进一步RBA加息的温和定价之间的脱节。

RBA言论与谨慎的利率定价

"RBA副行长Hauser的鹰派言论在隔夜支持了澳元。"

"Hauser警告称,通胀仍然“过高”,董事会不能允许其持续太久。"

"我们已延长看涨澳元的观点,现在预测到2026年底澳元/美元为0.73(之前为0.69)。"

"然而,OIS市场的温和反应——仍然预计到5月累计加息约20个基点,到年底约36个基点——表明债券投资者仍然不相信RBA的鹰派基调会转化为持续的政策转变。"

"走低的澳大利亚债券收益率进一步强化了外汇市场与利率市场之间的脱节。"

(本文由人工智能工具生成,并经过编辑审核。)

More than a million users rely on FXStreet for real-time market data, charting tools, expert insights, and forex news. Its comprehensive economic calendar and educational webinars help traders stay informed and make calculated decisions. FXStreet is supported by a team of about 60 professionals, split between the Barcelona headquarters and various global regions.
Read More

LIVE QUOTES

Name / Symbol
Chart
% Change / Price
GBPUSD
1 D change
+0%
0
EURUSD
1 D change
+0%
0
USDJPY
1 D change
+0%
0

ALL ABOUT FOREX

Explore More Tools
Trading Academy
Browse a wide range of educational articles covering trading strategies, market insights, and financial fundamentals, all in one place.
Learn More
Courses
Explore structured trading courses designed to support your growth at every stage of your trading journey.
Learn More
Webinar
Join live and on-demand webinars to gain real-time market insights and trading strategies from industry experts.
Learn More