拉美:持仓处于多年高位 - 大通银行
BNY的EMEA宏观策略师Geoff Yu报告称,拉丁美洲主权债务在全球投资组合中的配置已攀升至多年高点,巴西、墨西哥、阿根廷、智利、哥伦比亚和秘鲁的合并持有量现已超过2023年的峰值

BNY的EMEA宏观策略师Geoff Yu报告称,拉丁美洲主权债务在全球投资组合中的配置已攀升至多年高点,巴西、墨西哥、阿根廷、智利、哥伦比亚和秘鲁的合计持有量现已超过2023年的峰值。随着拉美债券不再被低配且美国收益率趋于稳定或上升,未来的回报将更多依赖于国内基本面和美洲地区关系。

拥挤的拉美主权债务将焦点转向基本面

"虽然重新评级有明显的好处,但新兴市场是否能提供更强的风险调整回报仍然是遥不可及的。"

"这对于拉美固定收益尤其如此,目前这是iFlow中持有最好的资产类别之一。"

"该地区的主权合计持有量目前略低于总主权债券持有量的1.2%。"

"对于该地区来说,接下来驱动回报的因素是什么,尤其是在估值的配置层被移除后,而美国收益率看起来将趋于稳定甚至上升。"

"在固定收益方面,该资产类别相对于历史也不再被低配,基本面需要发挥更大的作用,以维持或甚至改善当前的表现。"

(本文由人工智能工具协助创建,并由编辑审核。)

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