美元交叉货币交易在窄幅区间内波动 – 荷兰国际集团
由于感恩节假期导致资金流动减少,美元(USD)交叉汇率在窄幅区间内交易。尽管美元仍然容易受到向短期掉期利率下行收敛的影响,但荷兰国际集团(ING)外汇分析师弗朗切斯科-佩索莱(Francesco Pesole)指出,今天的波动性不应显著上升。

美元(USD)交叉汇率在感恩节假期期间交易区间狭窄,流动性减少。尽管美元仍然容易受到向短期掉期利率下行汇聚的影响,但 ING 外汇分析师弗朗切斯科-佩索莱指出,今天的波动性不应显著上升。

美元面临50日移动平均线的下行风险

“我们的短期公允价值模型继续显示美元相对于大多数G10货币存在短期高估风险,风险仍然倾向于回归DXY的99.0 50日移动平均线。”

“地缘政治新闻仍在密切关注中,尽管迄今为止对外汇的影响已被控制。普京总统昨天表示,在日内瓦讨论的草案可能成为未来与乌克兰达成协议的基础,美国和平特使史蒂夫·维特科夫确认将于下周访问莫斯科。在维特科夫出行之前,我们可能会看到对谈判突破的预期有所积累。”

“尽管市场对和平协议的前景持谨慎态度,但从这里开始的任何实质性进展都应对美元施加压力,并支持高贝塔的欧洲货币。”

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