美元:特朗普总统表示不担忧美元贬值 – BBH
美元最近面临显著的下行压力,特朗普总统对其下跌表示漠不关心,称“美元表现很好。”布朗兄弟哈里曼(BBH)分析师指出,美元的表现低于利率差异所暗示的水平,各种结构性因素继续对该货币施加压力。预计美联储将维持当前的政策利率,而市场则预期可能的干预措施可能进一步削弱美元。

美元最近面临显著的下行压力,特朗普总统对其下跌表示漠不关心,称“美元表现很好。”布朗兄弟哈里曼(BBH)分析师指出,美元的表现低于利率差异所暗示的水平,各种结构性因素继续对该货币施加压力。预计美联储将维持当前的政策利率,而市场则预期可能的干预措施可能进一步削弱美元。

美元在结构性挑战中承压

“特朗普总统表示他对货币贬值并不担心,并补充道‘美元表现很好。’这些评论并不令人惊讶,因为较弱的美元与特朗普政府振兴美国制造业活动的目标完全一致。”

“美元的表现明显低于利率差异所暗示的水平。然而,美元面临的结构性拖累——对美国贸易和安全政策的信心减弱、美联储的政治化以及美国财政信誉的恶化——可能继续超过更中性的周期性美元背景,导致美元走低。”

“FOMC政策利率决定将在今天(伦敦时间7:00,纽约时间2:00)公布。市场普遍预计FOMC将维持联邦基金利率目标区间在3.50-3.75%不变。”

(本文由人工智能工具生成,并经过编辑审核。)

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