美元:在美联储动态影响下的区间震荡前景 - BBH
布朗兄弟哈里曼(BBH)报告称,美元已在其多个月的区间内恢复。分析师预计,由于美联储对货币政策的谨慎态度,美元将保持在这一区间内

布朗兄弟哈里曼(BBH)报告称,美元在其多月区间内恢复。分析师预计,由于美联储对货币政策的谨慎态度,美元将保持在这一区间内。报告强调,由于对美国财政信誉和贸易政策的担忧,美元的结构性看跌情绪依然存在。

美元仍在多月区间内

"我们预计美元将保持在自2025年6月以来的区间内,因为美联储并不急于恢复宽松,风险在于美联储的降息幅度低于当前市场预期(年内50个基点)。"

"从结构上看,由于对美国贸易和安全政策信心减弱、美联储的政治化以及美国财政信誉恶化,我们对美元持看跌态度。"

"风险在于,美元的结构性拖累超过中性周期性美元背景,导致美元下跌,并进一步远离利率差异,就像去年第二季度那样。"

(本文由人工智能工具协助创建,并由编辑审核。)

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