欧元:欧洲央行政策稳定塑造前景 – 汇丰银行
汇丰银行的报告讨论了欧洲央行(ECB)决定将其关键存款利率维持在 2% 的决定及其对欧元的影响

汇丰银行的报告讨论了欧洲央行(ECB)决定将关键存款利率维持在2%的影响及其对欧元的影响。报告强调,考虑到欧洲央行的政策稳定,外部发展和财政措施预计将在2026年对欧元的走势发挥更大作用。

欧洲央行的稳定政策影响欧元前景

"欧洲央行的最新预测偏鹰派,2026年的增长预期上调至1.2%,2027年上调至1.4%(分别高于9月份的1.0%和1.3%),预计未来两年仅会出现有限的通胀低于预期的情况。"

"我们的经济学家预计,欧洲央行将在2026年维持当前的政策立场,2027年可能会加息。"

"鉴于这一政策稳定,其他主要经济体的发展可能会对欧元的走势产生更大影响。如果地区财政措施未能达到预期,或外部条件变得不那么支持,欧元也可能面临逆风。"

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