日元在日本央行加息前表现不佳 - BBH
日元(JPY)表现滞后,因为市场预计日本央行(BOJ)将在12月19日加息25个基点,行长植田和男发出温和的通胀风险信号,但工资压力持续上升;BBH外汇分析师报告称,美元/日元可能会因美日收益率差而滑向140。

日元(JPY)表现滞后,因为市场预计日本央行(BOJ)将在12月19日加息25个基点,行长植田和男发出温和的通胀风险信号,但工资压力持续上升;BBH外汇分析师报告称,美元/日元可能会因美日收益率差而滑向140。

植田行长强调未来的工资压力

“日元表现不佳。日本央行(BOJ)行长植田和男在最近的采访中采取了平衡的语气。植田指出,他目前并未看到过高的通胀风险,但警告称,由于劳动力短缺,“未来工资的上行压力将持续”。

“掉期曲线预计12月19日加息25个基点至0.75%的概率为90%。更紧的货币政策与日本政府最新的财政刺激计划相结合,对日元是利好。我们认为美元/日元有下行修正的空间,看向美日两年期国债收益率差所暗示的140.00水平。”


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