精炼产品推动石油上涨 – 荷兰国际集团
油价昨日上涨,ICE布伦特当天结算上涨超过1.4%,重新回到65美元/桶以上

油价昨日上涨,ICE布伦特原油当天结算上涨超过1.4%,重新回到每桶65美元以上。ING的商品专家Ewa Manthey和Warren Patterson指出,近期油市的强劲表现主要受到成品油的推动,汽油和柴油裂解价差因供应担忧而飙升。

由于制裁,俄罗斯原油流动的不确定性。

“乌克兰对俄罗斯炼油厂的持续无人机攻击令市场感到担忧,特别是中间馏分油。同时,美国对卢克石油和俄罗斯石油公司的制裁,以及这些制裁对俄罗斯以外的炼油资产的影响,也令更广泛的产品市场感到担忧。尽管油市前景看跌,但成品油市场的强劲表现正成为一个重大障碍。”

“由于制裁,俄罗斯原油流动仍存在大量不确定性。船舶追踪数据显示,近期流动速度放缓,4周平均水平降至自9月中旬以来的最低水平。此外,数据显示对中国和印度的供应量显著下降。然而,仍有相当一部分俄罗斯海运货物的目的地目前尚不明朗,最终可能会流向印度和/或中国。”

“今天,欧佩克将发布其月度油市报告,提供对今年剩余时间及2026年的展望。能源信息署将发布最新的短期能源展望,其中包括对美国石油和天然气供应的预测。最后,美国石油协会将公布其每周的美国原油和成品油库存数据。由于美国昨日的公共假期,这些数据被推迟发布。”

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