欧元:保持坚挺 - 荷兰国际集团
尽管一个月的实际欧元/美元波动率降至仅4.8%,但一个月的交易波动率已上升至6.5%,荷兰国际集团(ING)外汇分析师Chris Turner指出。

尽管一个月的实际欧元/美元波动率降至仅4.8%,但一个月的交易波动率已上升至6.5%,荷兰国际集团(ING)外汇分析师Chris Turner指出。

跌破1.1560/65可能会造成一些麻烦

“这表明投资者并没有放弃今年进一步的欧元/美元走势。同时,一个月的风险逆转显示出对欧元看涨和对美元看跌的需求——这表明投资者尚未放弃欧元/美元在年末走高的可能性。”

“这对我们年末1.18的预测略显鼓舞,但这一观点在很大程度上依赖于美国数据的疲软以及美联储在12月降息25个基点。我们应该在明天的就业报告发布后了解更多。”

“今天欧元区的日历看起来比较安静,仅有9月份通胀的最终发布。我们没有看到任何重要的欧洲央行发言人。预计欧元/美元将继续保持窄幅波动,但跌破1.1560/65可能会造成一些日内麻烦。”

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