欧元：法国政治因素施压 - 荷兰国际集团

欧元：法国政治因素施压 - 荷兰国际集团

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最新报告显示，马克龙总统已给即将离任的总理塞巴斯蒂安·勒科尔努（Sebastien Lecornu）时间，直到周三晚上，试图与分裂的议会合作寻找新总理

最新报告显示，马克龙总统已给即将离任的总理塞巴斯蒂安·勒科尔努（Sebastien Lecornu）时间，直到周三晚上，试图与分裂的议会合作寻找新总理。如果勒科尔努失败，可能的选择显然是任命一位纯粹的技术官僚或提前举行选举，荷兰国际集团（ING）外汇分析师克里斯·特纳（Chris Turner）指出。

在缺乏新的美国消息的情况下，下行风险正在加大

“目前，博彩市场预计本月底之前将召开的提前选举的概率为57%。但正如我们的团队所写，提前选举是否能解决任何问题尚不清楚。预计外汇交易者在未来几周和几个月内将关注法德国债收益率差（French: German OAT:Bund spread）。如果突破90个基点，将引发一些警报，并增加欧元的独立疲软。”

“欧元/美元在1.1650附近找到支撑，但在缺乏来自美国的新消息的情况下，下行风险似乎正在加大。”

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