欧元/美元今天可能无法达到1.1450 – 大华银行
进一步下跌并非不可能;明显的正向背离表明欧元今天可能无法达到1.1450。从长远来看,欧元预计将进一步走弱;下一个关注的水平是1.1450,大华银行(UOB Group)的外汇分析师Quek Ser Leang和Peter Chia指出。

进一步下跌并非不可能;明显的正向背离表明欧元今天可能无法达到1.1450。从长远来看,欧元预计将进一步走弱;下一个关注的水平是1.1450,大华银行(UOB Group)的外汇分析师Quek Ser Leang和Peter Chia指出。

进一步下跌并非不可能

24小时展望:“以下是我们昨天更新的摘录:‘欧元今天可能有足够的动量测试1.1490,随后反弹的风险增加。持续跌破1.1490的可能性似乎不大。下一个支撑位1.1450也不太可能受到威胁’。然而,欧元跌幅超出预期,最低跌至1.1472,连续第五天收低于1.1482(-0.31%)。虽然进一步下跌并非不可能,但下行动量暂时放缓。这与明显的正向背离相结合,表明欧元今天可能无法达到1.1450。阻力位在1.1500;若跌破1.1515将表明下跌正在稳定。”

1-3周展望:“我们在上周末对欧元持负面看法。跟踪随后的下跌,在我们两天前(11月3日,现货1.1535)的最新叙述中,我们指出‘下一个关注的水平是1.1490’。昨天,我们指出‘展望未来,如果欧元跌破1.1490,关注点将转向1.1450’。欧元随后在纽约时段跌至1.1472的低点。我们继续预计欧元将走弱,这次下一个关注的水平是1.1450。如果欧元跌破该水平,关注点将转向8月份的低点,接近1.1390。总体而言,只有突破1.1555(‘强阻力’水平昨天在1.1580)才会表明欧元不会进一步走弱。”

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