随着波动性减弱,日元陷入窄幅整理中 – 加拿大丰业银行
日本日元(JPY)保持极其平静,延续了我们在过去几周观察到的窄幅盘整,加拿大丰业银行(Scotiabank)首席外汇策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-西奥雷特(Eric Theoret)报告。

日本日元(JPY)保持极其平静,延续了我们在过去几周观察到的窄幅盘整,加拿大丰业银行(Scotiabank)首席外汇策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-西奥雷特(Eric Theoret)报告。

日元波动率滑向多年低点

“JPY 波动率在多个时间范围内正在减弱,一个月的指标威胁着突破 12 月的低点(7.44%),达到2024年3月份的水平。国内数据疲软,11月份的劳动现金收入数据显著疲弱。”

“日本国债(JGB)收益率已经注意到这一点,曲线上的收益率下降了4-6个基点。如果日本央行(BoJ)承认数据疲软并对持续收紧的预期进行反击,JPY 似乎在短期内脆弱。”

“我们对美元/日元持中立态度,等待突破11月中旬的154.50/158区间。”

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