铜:复杂基本面施压 – 荷兰国际集团
随着中国经济在10月份降温超出预期,LME铜和铝的周涨幅有所回落,荷兰国际集团(ING)的商品专家Ewa Manthey和Warren Patterson指出。

随着中国经济在10月份降温超出预期,LME铜和铝的周涨幅有所回落,荷兰国际集团(ING)的商品专家Ewa Manthey和Warren Patterson指出。

铜库存连续第四周下降

“创纪录的低投资和工业增长放缓加剧了本已疲弱的消费需求。铜在伦敦的周涨幅略超过1%,延续了年初至今超过20%的反弹。这一走势受到供应中断和与潜在美国关税相关的贸易风险的推动。随着Freeport-McMoRan在印尼Grasberg矿恢复部分运营,缓解了9月份因致命事故而停止的产出。”

“铝的周涨幅保持适度,受到中国冶炼厂接近政府设定的产能限制的担忧,限制了供应。10月份原铝产量达到3.8万吨(同比增长0.4%),但较9月份下降了9%。”

“来自上海期货交易所(SHFE)的最新数据显示,除铜外,基础金属的周库存在报告期内有所上升。铜库存连续第四周下降,截至周五减少了5,628吨,降至109,407吨。铝库存在连续四周下降后增加了1,564吨,达到114,899吨。铅库存连续第二周上升4,208吨,达到42,790吨。镍和锌库存也有所攀升,分别达到40,573吨(环比增长9.1%)和100,892吨(环比增长0.7%)。

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