Financial Market Insights | Comprehensive Analysis

Market Insight

14/07/2026 - 12/08/2026

TMGM Daily Market Breakfast: 2026-08-11

Middle East developments dominated the reporting window, with Iran's refusal to negotiate with the United States during President Donald Trump's term casting doubt on any near-term reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. That stance, together with Iran's previously stated conditions for reopening the waterway and reports of additional regional security threats, kept energy supply risks at the centre of market coverage and coincided with a strong rise in oil prices.

11 Aug 2026

TMGM Daily Market Breakfast: 2026-08-10

Geopolitical developments in the Middle East dominated the reporting window, with the Strait of Hormuz remaining at the centre of both diplomatic negotiations and energy market attention. Iranian officials said talks mediated by Oman were progressing, but they also tied a full resumption of commercial shipping to wider US concessions, while separate unverified reports of a tanker attack highlighted the fragility of the situation.

10 Aug 2026

Week Ahead: US CPI, RBA Rate Decision & UK GDP in Focus

After a weaker-than-expected US jobs report, Middle East uncertainty, and USD/JPY volatility, attention turns to US CPI, which is expected to cool slightly. The RBA rate decision and UK Q2 GDP will also be in focus.

10 Aug 2026

Fed September Rate Hike Odds Rise as Warsh Set to Deliver Key Speech at Global Central Bank Symposium

CME FedWatch Tool shows markets are pricing in a 55% probability that the Federal Reserve will raise rates by 25 basis points in September.

7 Aug 2026

Walsh Reportedly Held Multiple Private Calls with Trump, Raising Fresh Questions Over Fed Independence

Since Kevin Walsh became Federal Reserve Chair in May this year, President Trump has reportedly called him multiple times to discuss topics including the economic impact of the Iran war and the rapid rise of artificial intelligence.

6 Aug 2026

Trump’s Greenland Plan: “Control” Before January 2029!

U.S. President Donald Trump has once again set his sights on Greenland, and this time he has even laid out a timeline for bringing the island under U.S. “control.”

4 Aug 2026

Week Ahead: US NFP Report, JPY Intervention & AI Earnings

After confusion from the FOMC last week, attention turns to a busy US economic calendar, culminating in the non-farm payrolls report on Friday. USD/JPY remains on intervention watch after a joint US-Japanese move last week and another intervention today. AI earnings come as jitters surrounding the AI trade pulled chip stocks sharply lower in July.

3 Aug 2026

[TMGM Financial Recap] Bessent: The U.S. Will Not Hesitate to Further Support the Yen! Is the Carry Trade Unraveling?

Japan's Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama has officially confirmed that Japan and the United States jointly intervened in the foreign exchange market last week by buying yen and selling U.S. dollars. The significance of this move is substantial.

3 Aug 2026

Rare Move! Japan and the U.S. Jointly Intervene, Bessent Publicly Backs the Yen, Triggering a Sharp Rally!

The Japanese yen has just experienced a dramatic surge. USD/JPY plunged from around 162.80 to 157.98 in less than an hour, falling nearly 500 pips and marking its largest single-day decline since December 2023.

31 Jul 2026

USD/JPY Forecast: FOMC Meeting – A Hawkish Hold or Surprise Rate Hike?

The FOMC will announce its rate decision today at 18:00 GMT. Market expectations remain among the most divided in recent history, with a 30% probability of a rate hike being priced in. The BoJ is expected to keep rates unchanged on Friday. USD/JPY consolidates below 164.00.

29 Jul 2026

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