纽元/美元:可能无法有效突破0.6000 – 大华银行
新西兰元(NZD)可能进一步上涨,但可能无法明显突破0.6000。从长远来看,动能持续暗示NZD将走高;大华银行集团的外汇分析师Quek Ser Leang和Peter Chia指出,NZD必须首先收于0.6000之上,进一步上涨才有可能。

新西兰元(NZD)可能进一步上涨,但可能无法明显突破0.6000。从长远来看,动能持续暗示NZD将走高;大华银行集团的外汇分析师Quek Ser Leang和Peter Chia指出,NZD必须首先收于0.6000之上,进一步上涨才有可能。

动能持续暗示NZD将走高

24小时展望:“我们注意到昨天‘基础面更为坚挺’,并预计NZD将在0.5930/0.5970的更高区间交易。然而,NZD大幅上涨,达到0.5997的高点。今天,NZD可能进一步上涨,但超买状态表明它可能无法明显突破0.6000。下行方面,如果NZD跌破0.5950,且在0.5965有小幅支撑,这将意味着它可能会在区间内交易,而不是向0.6000上涨。”

1-3周展望:“自上周五(8月8日,现货0.5960)以来,我们保持相同的观点,指出‘上行动能正在积聚,但并不显著。’我们预计NZD将‘小幅上涨’,但指出‘目前尚不清楚它是否能达到0.6000。’昨天,NZD突然大幅上涨,达到0.5997的高点。尽管上行动能持续暗示NZD将走高,但它必须首先收于0.6000之上,进一步上涨才有可能。只要不跌破0.5930的‘强支撑’(昨日水平为0.5910),NZD收于0.6000之上的可能性将保持不变。展望未来,0.6000之上的下一个关注点是0.6020。”

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