黄金:新目标定在每盎司5600美元 - OCBC
华侨银行(OCBC Bank)已将其黄金预测上调至到2026年底每盎司5600美元,较之前的每盎司4800美元有所上升,反映出近期价格上涨和持续的结构性需求。

华侨银行已将其黄金预测上调至到2026年底每盎司5600美元,较之前的4800美元有所上升,反映出近期价格上涨和持续的结构性需求。报告强调,地缘政治的不确定性继续支撑黄金价格,这些价格是由持续的不确定性背景驱动的,而非周期性因素。分析表明,黄金上涨趋势的基本驱动因素基本保持不变。

修订后的黄金预测反映需求

"我们已将黄金预测上调至到2026年底每盎司5600美元(之前为每盎司4800美元),以反映近期价格的急剧上涨和结构性需求的持续,而不是对基本叙事的重新评估。"

"此次反弹显著——年初至今的最强反弹(约17%),并且持续存在,尽管在间歇性回调和地缘政治风险相对平静的时期,价格仍然保持在高位。"

"这些发展表明,黄金价格中现在嵌入了实质性的地缘政治或不确定性溢价,这种溢价的驱动因素较少是周期性因素,而更多是围绕地缘政治、政策不可预测性和对美元信心的持续不确定性。"

(本文由人工智能工具生成,并经过编辑审核。)

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