美国:信心改善,因美联储保持谨慎 – 星展银行
星展集团研究指出,波士顿联邦储备银行行长苏珊-柯林斯表示,美国利率可能会维持不变,称政策为温和限制性,因为通胀仍高于2%。期货市场已将首次降息的预期推迟至9月份

星展集团研究指出,波士顿联邦储备银行行长苏珊·柯林斯表示,美国利率可能会维持不变,称当前政策为温和限制性,因为通胀仍高于2%。期货市场已将预计的首次降息推迟至9月。与此同时,美国消费者信心在2月份上升,尽管预期仍低于历史上与避免衰退一致的水平。

美联储维持利率不变,信心略有上升

"与此同时,波士顿联邦储备银行行长苏珊·柯林斯重申了美联储的观点,即利率可能会在一段时间内维持不变,称当前货币政策为'温和限制性',并且在劳动力市场风险减小的同时,通胀仍高于2%。"

"这一指引促使期货市场将下次降息的预期从6月转移至9月。"

"尽管美国会议委员会的2026年2月报告显示消费者信心上升至91.2,较1月份上修的89.0有所上升,但市场仍保持谨慎。"

"尽管有所上升,预期指数仍低于80的阈值,历史上这通常预示着衰退即将来临。"

"现况指数下降1.8点至120,反映出对当前商业和就业状况的评估相比上个月略显悲观。"

(本文由人工智能工具生成,并经过编辑审核。)

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