美元:美联储维持利率不变,核心 PCE 超出预期 – Nordea
北欧联合银行(Nordea)的Jan von Gerich指出,美国的数据流量较少,但12月份核心PCE的意外上行表明,价格压力可能比CPI所暗示的缓解得更慢。他认为这支持美联储维持利率不变,诺德亚预计即使凯文·沃什(Kevin Warsh)接替杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)后也不会进一步降息。

北欧联合银行(Nordea)的Jan von Gerich指出,美国的数据流量较少,但12月份核心PCE的意外上行表明,价格压力可能比CPI所暗示的缓解得更慢。他认为这支持美联储维持利率不变,诺德亚预计即使凯文·沃什(Kevin Warsh)接替杰罗姆·鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)后也不会进一步降息。

顽固的通胀支持美联储政策持稳

"上周晚些时候,美联储首选的通胀指标核心PCE出现了意外的上行,尽管这些数据是12月份的,而最新的CPI数据是1月份的,但价格压力可能并没有像CPI数据所暗示的那样迅速下降,这将支持美联储目前维持利率不变。"

"美联储在1月份的会议上对劳动力市场风险采取了更为平衡的立场,目前可以保持观望态度。"

"我们不预计中央银行会进一步降息,包括凯文·沃什接替杰罗姆·鲍威尔时。"

"不过,风险仍然倾向于进一步降息。"

(本文由人工智能工具生成,并经过编辑审核。)

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