纽元:新西兰储备银行偏鹰派维持利率以支持货币 - BBH
布朗兄弟哈里曼(BBH)全球市场策略主管埃利亚斯·哈达德(Elias Haddad)预计新西兰央行将维持官方现金利率在2.25%,同时更新其预测。由于通胀仍然高企且劳动力市场改善,他预计该行将提前其加息预期

布朗兄弟哈里曼(BBH)全球市场策略主管埃利亚斯·哈达德预计,纽储行将维持官方现金利率在2.25%不变,同时更新其预测。由于通胀仍然高企,劳动力市场改善,他预计该行将提前进行加息。预计未来十二个月的掉期定价约为50个基点的收紧,这被视为对纽元的支持。

官方现金利率维持不变但暗示加息

"市场普遍预计,纽储行(RBNZ)今天将官方现金利率(OCR)维持在2.25%不变。焦点将转向纽储行更新的OCR预测。"

"在11月,纽储行预计OCR将在2026年保持在2.25%左右,随后在2027年加息近50个基点。"

"由于新西兰通胀持续高企,劳动力市场改善,预计纽储行将提前调整其OCR加息预测。"

"掉期曲线暗示未来十二个月将加息50个基点,这对纽元是有利的。"

(本文由人工智能工具生成,并经过编辑审核。)

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