纽元:在资产持有状况恶化的情况下疲软 – BNY
BNY强调,由于收益率低,纽元(NZD)在转变为融资货币的过程中面临持续挑战

BNY强调了新西兰元(NZD)在因低收益率而转变为融资货币过程中面临的持续挑战。报告指出,资金外流显著,资产流入前景黯淡,特别是在新西兰储备银行(RBNZ)预计降息的背景下。分析强调了对新西兰经济金融状况的更广泛影响。BNY市场宏观策略负责人Bob Savage提供了影响NZD的市场动态的见解。

NZD面临显著的资金外流和挑战

"预计RBNZ将在今晚再降息25个基点,且没有明确的周期结束迹象。"

"我们观察到,自10月最后一周以来,NZD每天都处于净卖出状态。在过去两周中,利率有一些初步改善的迹象,但周五又出现了强劲的资金外流。尽管有固定收益对冲推动NZD卖出的情况,但整体资产流动和持有前景非常糟糕。"

"尽管与全球人工智能变革没有直接关联,但新西兰的股票流动一般表明,在普遍抛售中,与全球风险厌恶高度相关的资产类别将面临困难。对于一个经常账户赤字经济体而言,缺乏资产流入将代表金融条件的收紧,这需要额外的对冲形式。"

(此故事是在AI的协助下创作的。)

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