欧元区PMI:谨慎复苏迹象 – TD证券
道明证券(TD Securities)全球策略团队预计,欧元区采购经理人指数(PMI)将发出法国和德国谨慎复苏的信号。他们认为,法国服务业在一月份的疲软被过度解读,预计将出现反弹,而德国制造业PMI预计将小幅上升,受到国防采购的支持

道明证券(TD Securities)全球战略团队预计,欧元区采购经理人指数(PMI)将发出法国和德国谨慎复苏的信号。他们认为,法国服务业在1月份的疲软表现被过度解读,预计将出现反弹,而德国制造业PMI预计将小幅上升,受到国防采购的支持。然而,读数仍预计将保持在关键的50.0阈值以下。

法国和德国显示出初步改善

"我们预计,作为欧元区两大经济体的PMI将发出谨慎复苏的信号。"

"在法国,我们认为,由于预算不确定性导致的1月份疲软表现被过度解读,预计服务业PMI将公平反弹至49.5(市场预期:49.2)。"

"德国制造业PMI也可能小幅上升至49.5(市场预期:49.5),受到国防采购逐步回升的支持。"

"尽管我们应该继续看到积极的动能,但采购的延迟进度可能仍会使读数保持在盈亏平衡的50.0以下。"

(本文由人工智能工具协助创建,并由编辑审核。)

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