欧元在1.16中间附近保持稳定 – 加拿大丰业银行
欧元(EUR)在周一北美时段对美元(USD)持平,延续其近期在1.16中间区间的盘整,加拿大丰业银行(Scotiabank)首席外汇策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-西奥雷特(Eric Theoret)报告称。

欧元(EUR)在周一北美时段对美元(USD)持平,延续其近期在1.16中间区间的盘整,加拿大丰业银行(Scotiabank)首席外汇策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-西奥雷特(Eric Theoret)报告称。

欧洲央行施纳贝尔暗示可能加息

“欧洲央行施纳贝尔的鹰派言论提供了短暂的提振,她重申了央行的中性政策指引,同时也暗示了下一步可能是加息的舒适感。短期利率市场在过去几个月中逐渐淡化了其鸽派偏向,但刚刚开始定价中期内加息的(微小)可能性。”

“欧元区/美国的收益率差距仍然支持,因为它们继续从深度负值水平上升,近期风险平衡似乎更有利于进一步的基本面强劲。考虑到周一发布的令人印象深刻的10月份工业生产数据(环比增长1.8%,预期0.3%),更强的数据提供了额外支持。”

“相对强弱指数(RSI)看涨,徘徊在60以下,随着欧元在1.16中间区间延续其最新的短期盘整。50日移动平均线(1.1609)已被突破,为进一步上涨铺平了道路,目标是6月份平坦区间的上端。我们预计在1.17附近几乎没有阻力,并关注1.18以上的实质性阻力。我们预计近期将在1.16和1.17之间震荡。”

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