随着利差扩大、原油走软,加元表现不佳 – 加拿大丰业银行
加元(CAD)在本日交易中表现稍显逊色。加拿大丰业银行(Scotiabank)首席外汇策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-西奥雷特(Eric Theoret)报告称,本周以来,加元面临的一些因素有所变化。

加元(CAD)在本日交易中表现稍显逊色。加拿大丰业银行(Scotiabank)首席外汇策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-西奥雷特(Eric Theoret)报告称,本周以来,加元面临的一些因素有所变化。

美元稳步走高

“由于担心OPEC+可能增加供应,原油价格下跌,而短期美加利差较上周低点有所扩大,尽管整体趋势仍然保持收窄。股市波动可能是加元近期的另一个阻力,尽管我们普遍认为短期美元的涨幅是可以回调的,而风险仍倾向于近期美联储政策放松。”

“我们估计的美元/加元的公允价值今天略微上升至1.3622,结束于上周略低于该水平。本周加元(以及其他货币)面临的最大风险是周五非农就业人数(NFP)数据强于预期,这将降低美联储本月晚些时候降息的前景。”

“美元从上周低点1.37区间稳步走高,但向1.38及以上的涨幅仍吸引美元卖盘,图表显示。日内阻力位在1.3815仍显得相当坚挺。突破1.38低位区间可能会促使进一步上涨至1.38高位区域。支撑位在1.3765/70和1.3725/30。”


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