美元/日元:日本央行令人失望,财务省安抚 – OCBC
美元/日元在日本央行(BoJ)决定维持政策利率不变后跳涨。2 名成员对该决定表示异议,与上次会议持平。OCBC 的外汇分析师 Frances Cheung 和 Christopher Wong 指出,美元/日元最后报154.20水平

美元/日元在日本央行决定维持政策利率不变后跳涨。2名成员对该决定表示异议,与上次会议持平。美元/日元最后见于154.20水平,OCBC的外汇分析师Frances Cheung和Christopher Wong指出。

日线动量转为温和看涨

“行长上田也没有给出时间表的暗示,表示他们希望看到更多关于国内工资设定行为的数据,同时海外经济的不确定性仍然很高。他补充道,‘如果我们确信,我们将根据政治形势调整利率’。我们长期以来一直认为,宏观条件已成熟,政策正常化将会发生。”

“今早的数据——东京CPI在10月加速上升——强化了我们的偏向。鉴于过去24小时的剧烈波动,财务大臣片山现在表示,政府将高度紧迫地监测货币波动,包括那些由投机行为驱动的波动。她补充道,她看到非常单边、快速的货币波动。”

“日线动量转为温和看涨,而相对强度指数(RSI)的上升有所减缓。阻力位在154.40(2025年高点到低点的76.4%斐波那契回撤位)。支撑位在153.30(之前的双顶),151.60/80(21日移动平均线,61.8%斐波那契)。日本央行的延迟加息可能继续对日元施加下行压力,因为口头干预可能只能在某些时候减缓下跌,但无法改变更广泛的市场力量。”

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