美元/日元:双向交易 – 华侨银行
美元/日元今晨早盘跳涨,因为避险需求减弱,市场对美国政府关门可能接近尾声的消息作出反应。华侨银行外汇分析师Frances Cheung和Christopher Wong指出,美元/日元最后见于154.17水平。

美元/日元今晨早盘跳涨,因为避险需求减弱,市场对美国政府关门可能接近尾声的消息作出反应。华侨银行外汇分析师Frances Cheung和Christopher Wong指出,美元/日元最后见于154.17水平。

价格模式显示出一系列更低的低点

“财政担忧、干预风险和风险情绪的对立力量将继续推动该货币对。我们观察到,每当美元/日元超过154时,财政部官员似乎变得更加直言不讳。”

“上周,财政大臣片山确实表示她正在以高度紧迫感关注外汇走势,这在一定程度上抑制了美元/日元的进一步上涨。我们将继续关注在新任财政大臣的领导下,口头干预是否会加大力度,或最终是否会进展到实际干预。”

“日线动量显示出轻微看跌的初步迹象,而相对强弱指数(RSI)下降。价格模式显示出一系列更低的低点,而高点似乎平稳——通常是一个下降三角形——这可能预示着新的看跌压力。技术信号指向一些下行压力。支撑位在152.50(21日移动平均线),151.60(61.8%斐波那契回撤)。阻力位在154.40(2025年高点到低点的76.4%斐波那契回撤)。

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