美元在关键美国就业数据发布前稳居200日移动平均线附近 – BBH
美元(USD)在昨日高点附近保持稳定,美元指数(DXY)交易价格仅比其200日移动平均线低0.3%,布朗兄弟哈里曼(BBH)外汇分析师报告称。

美元(USD)在昨日高点附近保持稳定,美元指数(DXY)交易价格仅比其200日移动平均线低0.3%,布朗兄弟哈里曼(BBH)外汇分析师报告称。

劳动力需求减弱可能支持2026年降息

“今天的12月ADP就业和11月JOLTS报告与政策相关。市场普遍预期ADP私营部门新增就业人数为+50,000,而11月为-32,000。然而,这不太可能缓解对劳动力需求减弱的担忧。9月、10月和11月平均损失了13,000个职位。”

“与此同时,JOLTS招聘和辞职率的进一步下降将增加劳动力需求恶化的迹象。如果是这样,这将验证2026年联邦基金期货中定价的50个基点的降息,并对美元施加压力。”

“预计美国12月ISM服务业指数将继续表明服务业活动强劲。总体指数预计为52.2,而11月为52.6。然而,支付价格子指数的进一步下降将支持进一步降息的理由。”

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EURUSD
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USDJPY
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