能源:OPEC+供应增加 – 荷兰国际集团
油价昨日承受了显著压力,ICE布伦特原油日内下跌超过3%,荷兰国际集团(ING)商品专家Ewa Manthey和Warren Patterson指出

油价昨日承受了显著压力,ICE布伦特原油日内下跌超过3%,荷兰国际集团(ING)的商品专家Ewa Manthey和Warren Patterson指出。

市场能够承受额外供应

“这发生在欧佩克+考虑在11月份进一步增加137k桶/日供应的报道之际。我们应该在10月5日的会议上得到确认。我们的资产负债表清楚地表明不需要额外供应。我们预计市场将在第四季度进入大规模过剩,并在2026年之前保持过剩。因此,我们预计油价在明年将承受显著压力。”

“虽然普遍观点认为欧佩克+的增产是为了重新获得市场份额,但曲线前端保持倒挂将使该组织感到市场能够承受额外供应。然而,随着我们进入过剩环境,时间价差应该会承受进一步压力。”

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