纽元:新西兰储备银行在50个基点的调整后将再次降息 – 荷兰国际集团
纽储行今天意外宣布降息50个基点。此外,指引保持鸽派,表示对进一步降息持开放态度,导致纽元/美元下跌1%,荷兰国际集团的外汇分析师弗朗西斯科·佩索尔指出。

纽储行今天意外宣布降息50个基点。此外,指引保持鸽派,表示对进一步降息持开放态度,导致纽元/美元下跌1%,荷兰国际集团的外汇分析师弗朗西斯科·佩索尔指出。

纽储行指引保持鸽派

“我们对这一决定感到相当惊讶,因为我们认为第三季度缺乏通胀数据会使本月的降息更加谨慎。相反,似乎纽储行坚定地专注于支持经济活动,而第二季度GDP收缩幅度大于预期足以触发大幅降息。”

“我们现在预计11月份将降息25个基点至2.25%,并在2026年初有很大机会进一步降息至2.0%。我们认为,纽元/美元在我们本季度看空美元的背景下仍有一些反弹空间,但在交叉盘中可能会继续落后于其最接近的对手澳元。”

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