欧元/美元:预计将回升至1.1850 - 加拿大丰业银行
欧元/美元预计将在未来几天回升至1.1850关口。周四早上的反弹显示该货币对的动能仍然倾向于看涨,但美国家庭就业市场数据仍对美元交叉盘产生较大影响,荷兰国际集团(ING)外汇分析师弗朗切斯科-佩索莱(Francesco Pesole)指出。

欧元/美元预计将在未来几天回升至1.1850关口。周四早上的反弹显示该货币对的动能仍然倾向于看涨,但美国家庭就业市场数据仍对美元交叉盘产生较大影响,荷兰国际集团(ING)外汇分析师弗朗切斯科-佩索莱(Francesco Pesole)指出。

来自法国的溢出效应仍然有限

“在法国债务被降级一周后,我们可以得出结论,尽管OAT-Bund 10年期利差仍然相当宽(目前为80个基点),但欧元的溢出效应非常有限。他们最新的政治消息并不乐观,因为新任总理面临着工会对其财政计划的强烈反对,与被认为掌握预算通过关键的社会党人的谈判迄今未能取得良好结果。”

“OAT-Bund利差进一步扩大的风险仍然存在,但对欧元而言,最重要的是这些调整的变化率,迄今为止我们并不预期会出现实质性的外汇溢出效应。”

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