欧元/瑞士法郎小幅上涨,避险需求减弱 – 法国兴业银行
随着地缘政治紧张局势缓解,瑞郎(CHF)的避险溢价部分回落,欧元/瑞郎(EUR/CHF)逐渐走高,法国兴业银行的外汇分析师奥利维尔·科尔贝尔(Olivier Korber)和基特·贾克斯(Kit Juckes)报告。

欧元/瑞郎(EUR/CHF)逐渐走高,因为地缘政治紧张局势缓解触发了瑞郎(CHF)避险溢价的部分回落,法国兴业银行(Société Générale)外汇分析师 Olivier Korber 和 Kit Juckes 报告称。

尽管欧元/美元表现疲软,瑞郎仍然走弱

“避险回落和套利优势。随着地缘政治紧张局势缓解,尽管自圣诞节高点1.18以来欧元/美元表现疲软,欧元/瑞郎仍小幅走高,表明瑞郎的避险需求正在逐渐回落。将瑞郎空头与挪威克朗多头配对,得益于挪威的高利率,确保了有吸引力的套利机会。”

“瑞士的PMI失利确认了下行风险。瑞士经济的下行风险加深,12月份制造业PMI暴跌至45.8(远低于最悲观的49预测)。再加上第三季度GDP收缩,这进一步强化了经济脆弱性,削弱了瑞郎的防御吸引力。”

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