瑞士央行前瞻:降息门槛高,将维持在0% – 野村证券
瑞士央行(SNB)预计将维持其政策利率在0%,尽管通胀和GDP增长疲软,理由是负利率的高门槛。根据野村证券(NOMURA)研究分析师的报告,瑞士央行在2024年进行有限干预后,仍愿意通过外汇购买来管理通货紧缩,同时预测到2026年将保持稳定增长。

瑞士央行(SNB)预计将维持其政策利率在0%,尽管通胀和GDP增长疲软,理由是负利率的高门槛。根据野村证券(NOMURA)研究分析师的报告,瑞士央行在2024年进行有限干预后,仍愿意通过外汇购买来管理通货紧缩,同时预测到2026年将保持稳定增长。

尽管通胀低迷和GDP下降,利率仍维持在0.00%

"我们预计瑞士央行将在12月11日的会议上将政策利率维持在0.00%不变。"

"最新的通胀和GDP增长数据均表现疲软。然而,我们预计瑞士央行将预测通胀再次上升,并在2026年继续实现GDP增长,因此可能不需要降息,特别是负政策利率的门槛较高。"

"瑞士央行在2024年进行有限干预后,在第二季度购买了51亿瑞士法郎的外汇,这表明其仍愿意使用这一政策工具来遏制通货紧缩。"

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