英镑/美元因预算担忧触及自四月以来最低点 – BBH
英镑/美元因财政大臣里夫斯(Chancellor Reeves)暗示即将增税而下跌至四月低点,这可能为英国央行在11月26日预算后进一步宽松铺平道路,BBH外汇分析师报告称。

英镑/美元因财政大臣里夫斯(Chancellor Reeves)暗示即将增税而下跌至四月低点,这可能为英国央行在11月26日预算后进一步宽松铺平道路,BBH外汇分析师报告称。

财政大臣里夫斯在秋季预算中暗示增税

“英镑/美元暴跌至自四月以来的最低水平。英国财政大臣瑞秋·里夫斯今天暗示,她将在11月26日的秋季预算中提出增税。预计的财政拖累应为英国央行(BOE)提供更多宽松的空间,超出当前市场预期(未来12个月内50个基点),并进一步施压英镑。”

“下次英国央行的政策决定将在周四,掉期市场暗示25个基点降至3.75%的概率为30%。我们预计英国央行将在预算之后再恢复降息。英国通胀仍接近英国央行2%的目标的两倍,领先指标显示,英国第三季度实际GDP增长(将于11月13日公布)将超出英国央行0.3%的季度环比预测。”


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