美元:平静的盘整 – 荷兰国际集团
美元本周悄然走强。我们不确定是什么推动了这一走势,但在这个阶段我们不会过度解读。或许只是因为短期美元的持有成本较高,尽管一周期美元利率仍然高于4.00%,荷兰国际集团(ING)外汇分析师Chris Turner指出。

美元本周悄然走强。我们不确定是什么推动了这一走势,但在这个阶段我们不会过度解读。或许只是因为短期美元的持有成本较高,尽管一周期美元利率仍然高于4.00%,荷兰国际集团(ING)外汇分析师Chris Turner指出。

市场波动可能有限

“尽管欧洲领导人称赞取得了‘突破’,但本周在乌克兰问题上并没有太多进展。让我们看看美国在支持欧洲捍卫乌克兰方面准备提供多少支持的更多细节,以及普京总统是否准备接受欧洲军队在乌克兰的驻扎——这一威胁(根据北约)正是促使俄罗斯最初入侵乌克兰的原因。”

“就今天的日历而言,潜在的美联储主席热门人选克里斯托弗·沃勒(Christopher Waller)将在17:00 CET发表讲话,尽管主题是支付。更有趣的是将在20:00 CET发布的FOMC会议纪要,这将披露两位投票支持7月降息的异议者(沃勒和鲍曼)的更多观点。”

“然而,考虑到7月就业报告将在几天后发布,市场波动可能会受到限制。关于美联储的更清晰的情况预计将在周五下午鲍威尔主席在杰克逊霍尔的讲话中浮现。总体而言,我们认为今天DXY不需要大幅波动,并且难以看到其突破98.50/60的阻力位。”

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