澳元/美元接近0.6625的关键阻力位 – 布朗兄弟哈里曼
澳元/美元正在测试0.6625附近的阻力位,全球经济活动的韧性和澳大利亚劳动力市场的趋势支撑了对澳储行(RBA)放松政策步伐放缓的预期。交易员们密切关注8月份的就业数据,期货市场预计未来一年将降息约50个基点,BBH外汇分析师报告称。

澳元/美元正在测试0.6625附近的阻力位,全球经济活动的韧性和澳大利亚劳动力市场的趋势支撑了对澳储行(RBA)放松政策步伐放缓的预期。交易员们密切关注8月份的就业数据,期货市场预计未来一年将降息约50个基点,BBH外汇分析师报告称。

预计澳储行将比美联储更谨慎地放松政策

“澳元/美元接近0.6625的关键阻力位,突破在望。澳储行的放松政策步伐预计将比美联储更为谨慎,全球经济活动表现出韧性。澳大利亚领先的就业指标支持澳储行逐步放松政策的路径。”

“NAB就业子指数上升至11个月来的最高点5.2,而7月份为1.9。西太平洋-墨尔本大学失业预期子指数在9月份上升4.6%,达到了其长期平均水平,这与稳定而非改善的劳动力市场相一致。”

“澳大利亚8月份的就业数据将于9月18日公布,这将是推动澳储行利率预期的重要因素。澳储行指出,现金利率的下降速度将主要受劳动力市场状况的驱动。与此同时,澳储行现金利率期货继续暗示未来12个月将降息50个基点。”

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