EUR/GBP Price Forecasts: Euro remains vulnerable below 0.8640
By Guillermo Alcala
Updated: 4 May 2026
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The Euro (EUR) opens the week on a soft note against the British Pound (GBP). The pair shows moderate losses, as Friday’s upside attempt from the 0.8620 lows failed to find acceptance above a previous support area at 0.8640, which leaves the year-to-date low, at 0.8611, exposed
- EUR/GBP recovery attempt from 0.8620 lows remains limited below 0.8640.
- The Pound is outperforming the Euro, with risk appetite subdued.
- Euro bears remain in control, with the 2026 low near 0.8610 at a short distance.
The Euro (EUR) opens the week on a soft note against the British Pound (GBP). The pair shows moderate losses, as Friday’s upside attempt from the 0.8620 lows failed to find acceptance above a previous support area at 0.8640, which leaves the year-to-date low, at 0.8611, exposed
The Pound shows a slightly better performance than the Euro on a cautious start to the week, with all eyes on the Strait of Hormuz, after US President Donald Trump flagged a military operation to free vessels of neutral nations stranded in the critical waterway, but without providing further details.
The UK economic calendar is thin on Monday. In Europe, April’s final HCOB Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) is expected to confirm a moderate expansion in the sector's activity, while the Sentix Index will provide details about investors’ confidence ahead of speeches by some European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers.
Technical Analysis: Previous support at 0.8640 is holding bulls
EUR/GBP remains stalled below the confluence of a reverse trendline from late March highs and the area between 0.8630 and 0.8640, which supported bears on March 23, 24, and 26.
Technical indicators in 4-hour charts are in bearish territory. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) around 38 signals weak demand rather than oversold stress, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram fluctuates around the zero line, hinting at sluggish momentum.
Failure to extend recovery past 0.8640 leaves the 2026 low, at 0.8611 (March 19 low), on the bears' focus. Further down, the next target is the August 2025 low, at 0.8596. On the upside, a confirmation above 0.8640 would shift the focus towards the April 27 and 28 lows, around 0.8655, and the April 24 high, near 0.8685.
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)
Euro Price Today
The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | -0.06% | -0.01% | -0.09% | 0.06% | 0.07% | -0.13% | -0.05% | |
| EUR | 0.06% | 0.01% | -0.04% | 0.12% | 0.14% | -0.06% | -0.01% | |
| GBP | 0.00% | -0.01% | -0.06% | 0.11% | 0.12% | -0.11% | -0.01% | |
| JPY | 0.09% | 0.04% | 0.06% | 0.12% | 0.11% | -0.10% | -0.02% | |
| CAD | -0.06% | -0.12% | -0.11% | -0.12% | -0.01% | -0.22% | -0.12% | |
| AUD | -0.07% | -0.14% | -0.12% | -0.11% | 0.00% | -0.24% | -0.14% | |
| NZD | 0.13% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.10% | 0.22% | 0.24% | 0.09% | |
| CHF | 0.05% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.02% | 0.12% | 0.14% | -0.09% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).
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