加拿大:贸易顺差扩大,投资上升 – RBC
加拿大皇家银行(RBC)经济学家Abbey Xu和Nathan Janzen指出,加拿大5月份商品贸易顺差从4月份的34亿美元增加到42亿美元,原因是出口增长而进口下降。

加拿大皇家银行(RBC)经济学家Abbey Xu和Nathan Janzen指出,加拿大5月份商品贸易顺差从4月份的34亿美元增加到42亿美元,原因是出口增长而进口下降。他们强调,能源价格支撑减弱、出口量下降以及工业机械进口增加,显示出需求转变和在不确定的贸易环境中商业投资的改善迹象。

顺差增长但贸易量放缓

“加拿大5月份商品贸易顺差从4月份的34亿美元(修正后为27亿美元)扩大至42亿美元,出口增长0.9%,而进口下降0.2%。”

“不过,月度贸易数据受大宗商品价格和个别产品类别的影响较大,因此在评估基本面时,重要的是要超越表面数值。”

“剔除价格因素后,5月份出口量下降0.5%,这为评估基本的外需提供了更清晰的视角,但整体来看,第二季度仍在经历大幅增长。”

“工业机械和设备进口较4月份跃升6.1%(同比增长12.8%),这表明企业在应对不确定的贸易环境时,商业投资正在逐步上升。”

“贸易流动继续受到美国贸易政策不确定性的影响,尽管我们更广泛的预期是,随着国际环境逐步稳定,贸易对加拿大经济增长的拖累将比2025年有所减轻。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,并由编辑审核。 了解更多。

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