加拿大:周期性反弹与加拿大央行稳健立场 – 加拿大皇家银行
加拿大皇家银行(RBC)经济学家Claire Fan预计,受家庭支出韧性、企业投资回升和净贸易扩大支撑,加拿大经济将在2026年第二季度反弹。

加拿大皇家银行(RBC)经济学家Claire Fan预计,加拿大经济将在2026年第二季度反弹,得益于家庭支出的韧性、企业投资的恢复以及净贸易的扩大。预计2026年下半年增长将持续,CUSMA豁免仍保护大部分加拿大出口免受美国关税影响。预计加拿大央行将在2026年全年维持利率不变。

贸易和支出支撑反弹

“加拿大经济有望在第二季度反弹,推动因素包括家庭支出的韧性、企业投资的恢复以及净贸易的扩大。”

“预计2026年下半年增长将持续,CUSMA豁免仍保护大部分加拿大出口免受美国关税影响。”

“预计加拿大央行将在2026年维持利率不变。”

“贸易和能源价格的不确定性仍然存在,但近期发展——能源价格增长总体放缓和经济增长趋稳——大致符合预期,重申了加拿大央行的稳健立场。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,并由编辑审核。 了解更多。

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