金价：CTA抛售触发因素及通胀逆风 – 道明证券

金价：CTA抛售触发因素及通胀逆风 – 道明证券

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道明证券（TD Securities）高级商品策略师 Ryan McKay 指出，随着新一轮关税和美伊紧张局势加剧通胀压力，黄金难以恢复，且市场对美联储（Fed）加息的预期被推迟至 2027 年初。

道明证券的Ryan McKay指出，随着新一轮关税和美伊紧张局势加剧通胀压力，并将美联储（Fed）加息预期推迟至2027年初，黄金正努力恢复。他强调，商品交易顾问（CTA）认为黄金接近4470美元/盎司的即时卖出触发点，在市场持平或下跌时，仓位可能转为更为负面。

CTA触发限制黄金反弹

“随着特朗普总统提议对主要贸易伙伴实施新关税，以及美伊之间又一轮攻击交锋，贵金属继续受到通胀压力的打击。”

“由于通胀担忧持续，市场至少将美联储加息预期定价至2027年初，黄金难以实现任何有力反弹。”

“对于CTA来说，黄金正接近4470美元/盎司的即时卖出触发点，在市场持平或下跌时，仍可能出现额外抛售。”

（本文由人工智能工具协助生成，编辑审核。）

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