美元/加元:道明证券称加拿大央行谨慎,加元走势波动
道明证券(TD Securities)报告称,加拿大央行(BoC)将利率维持在2.25%,语气谨慎,强调贸易不确定性和疲软的劳动力市场,同时对2026年增长进行了适度上调。该团队预计2026年不会有政策变化,2027年将加息两次。

道明证券报告称,加拿大央行(BoC)将利率维持在2.25%,语气谨慎,强调贸易不确定性和疲软的劳动力市场,同时对2026年增长进行了适度上调。团队预计2026年内政策将保持不变,2027年将加息两次。他们认为加拿大短端利率过低,预计美元/加元在第二季度将围绕当前水平震荡交易。

加拿大央行按兵不动并提供有条件指引

“加拿大央行在4月将利率维持在2.25%不变。”

“声明语气谨慎,央行淡化了能源价格上涨带来的积极增长影响,特别关注贸易不确定性和疲软的劳动力市场。”

“尽管央行表现出明显的谨慎态度,但2026年的增长预测仍被适度上调,从这个意义上看,声明似乎是隐含地旨在抵制鹰派预期。”

“我们预计加拿大央行将在2026年全年保持按兵不动,2027年加息两次。”

“我们预计美元/加元将在第二季度震荡,围绕当前水平交易。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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