美元/加元:加拿大央行受到稳定通胀的支持 - BBH
布朗兄弟哈里曼(BBH)的埃利亚斯·哈达德指出,美元/加元在加拿大2月份CPI公布前回落至1.3700以下。市场普遍预计,由于基数效应,整体通胀将下降,核心通胀将维持在中位数2%左右。

布朗兄弟哈里曼(BBH)的埃利亚斯·哈达德指出,美元/加元在加拿大2月份CPI公布前回落至1.3700以下。市场普遍预计,由于基数效应,整体通胀将下降,核心通胀将维持在中部2%的水平。哈达德认为,加拿大相对稳定的通胀背景使得加拿大央行在面对疲软的劳动力市场数据时,有一定的空间来忽视油价冲击。

稳定的CPI缓解油价冲击压力

"美元/加元回落至1.3700以下。"

"加拿大2月份CPI今天公布(伦敦时间12:30,纽约时间8:30)。市场普遍预计,受有利基数效应影响,整体CPI将同比下降至1.9%,而1月份为2.3%。核心CPI(截尾和中位数的平均值)预计为同比2.35%,而1月份为2.45%。"

"作为参考,加拿大央行(BOC)预计整体和核心通胀在第一季度分别平均为2.0%和2.5%。"

"加拿大相对稳定的通胀背景为BOC提供了小幅缓冲,使其能够忽视油价冲击,并在劳动力市场恶化的情况下避免加息。"

"加拿大经济在2月份失去了-83.9k个工作岗位,而1月份为-24.8k个,主要集中在全职职位,失业率上升0.2个百分点至6.7%。"

(本文由人工智能工具协助创建,并由编辑审核。)

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