美元:受美联储推动的涨势延续,美元指数突破区间 – 汇丰银行
汇丰策略师指出,继美国与伊朗达成临时和平协议以及美联储(Fed)信息传递转变后,美元(USD)已突破此前的G10货币区间。

汇丰策略师指出,继美国与伊朗达成临时和平协议以及美联储(Fed)信息转变后,美元(USD)已突破此前G10货币的区间。他们认为,由坚韧的美国经济增长支撑的美联储利率鹰派重新定价应支持美元进一步走强,美元指数(DXY)已升至101以上。

美联储重新定价支撑美元走强

“美国与伊朗的临时和平协议以及美联储(Fed)信息的转变,打破了多个G10货币此前的区间震荡走势。美联储叙事的变化对美元尤为有利,使其突破了长期建立的交易区间。反映这一点的是,美元指数(DXY)已升至101以上(彭博,6月26日)。”

“尽管地缘政治紧张局势缓和通常会减少美元作为‘避险’货币的需求,但我们预计美国利率预期的日益鹰派重新定价将成为主要驱动力,支持美元在短期内进一步走强。重要的是,美联储政策似乎基于美国经济的持续韧性,而非G10其他地区政策辩论中出现的滞胀式权衡。”

“由坚韧增长支撑的美国利率鹰派重新定价对美元有利。”

“美伊协议和美联储信息转变终结了许多G10外汇对的区间震荡。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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GBPUSD
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EURUSD
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USDJPY
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