美元:与石油和股票的相关性发生变化 – BNY
BNY市场宏观策略负责人鲍勃-萨维奇(Bob Savage)强调,随着投资者应对伊朗冲突和央行会议,美元、油价和股票之间的传统相关性出现了显著的突破。

BNY市场宏观策略负责人鲍勃·萨维奇(Bob Savage)强调,随着投资者应对伊朗冲突和央行会议,美元、石油和股票之间的传统相关性出现了显著的突破。他建议市场可能正在为季度末的底部进行布局,并且石油/黄金比率已成为美元的关键晴雨表,因为杠杆正在解除。

美元与风险资产的联系演变

"有一个相关性突破对投资者来说显得重要,因为他们即将迎来央行决策和圣帕特里克节庆祝活动的“幸运”一周。"

"美元和美元/石油的联系看起来不同。美元与股票之间的联系也是如此。"

"投资者可能正在调整策略,等待战争持续时间的明确性,但他们也可能在为季度末的底部进行交易。"

"目前看起来在起作用的一个晴雨表是石油/黄金比率;在达到每86桶石油兑换1盎司黄金的峰值后,该指标现在已降至50以下。关注其对美元的影响,因为杠杆解除仍在继续。"

(本文由人工智能工具协助创建,并由编辑审核。)

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