美元指数:关键阻力位下方盘整 – 华侨银行
华侨银行(OCBC)外汇策略师 Christopher Wong 指出,美元指数(DXY)回落,因美国国债收益率下降和油价走软减少了避险需求,美联储公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议纪要未带来新的鹰派推动力。

华侨银行(OCBC)外汇策略师Christopher Wong指出,美元指数因美国国债收益率走低和油价走软减少了避险需求而回落,美联储公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议纪要未带来新的鹰派推动。他强调日线图上持续的看涨动能,但也出现了超买反转的迹象。美元指数(DXY)正在盘整,阻力位集中在99.40和100.50/60附近,支撑位则聚集在98.30至97.50之间。

美元反弹动能有所减弱

“美元隔夜走软,受收益率走低和油价下跌的影响。FOMC会议纪要没有带来重大意外。美联储仍表现出耐心,官员们关注通胀风险,尚未准备确认近期的宽松预期。会议纪要中也承认能源价格和中东紧张局势增加了前景的不确定性。”

“对市场而言,更重要的是会议纪要未为近期的鹰派重新定价注入新动力。隔夜价格走势主要受油价和收益率回落带动,这帮助风险资产回升,并削弱了美元近期反弹的部分动能。”

“美元指数最后报于99.10水平。日线动能看涨,而相对强弱指数(RSI)显示出从接近超买状态的初步回转迹象。”

“过去几日的价格走势呈现一定盘整,99.40(23.6%斐波那契回撤位)为短期关键阻力,随后是100.50/60水平(2026年高点)。支撑位分别为98.30/50(21、100、200日移动均线)、98.10(2026年低点至高点的50%斐波那契回撤位)和97.50/60(双底,2026年低点至高点的61.8%斐波那契回撤位)。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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