纽元/美元:0.5630附近关注战术支撑 – 星展银行
星展集团研究部的Philip Wee预计纽储行将在4月8日的会议上维持政策不变,忽略能源驱动的通胀。他指出,如果通胀预期失锚,行长Anna Breman将采取有条件的鹰派立场。

星展集团研究部的Philip Wee预计纽储行将在4月8日的会议上维持政策不变,忽略由能源驱动的通胀。他指出,行长Anna Breman在通胀预期失锚的情况下持有有条件的鹰派立场。Wee强调,纽元/美元已回撤了此前大部分涨幅,可能在0.5630附近沿趋势线找到技术支撑。

纽储行谨慎态度及关键外汇支撑

“纽储行将在4月8日的会议上采取观望态度。”

“行长Anna Breman和首席经济学家Paul Conway将忽略由能源驱动的整体通胀飙升。通过将官方现金利率维持在2.25%,纽储行旨在支持经济软着陆,同时避免过早收紧政策,防止经济重回衰退。”

“然而,Breman也表示,如果油价扰动威胁到通胀预期失锚,即推动核心通胀和工资增长超出1-3%的目标区间,她准备加息。”

“如果Breman重申这一鹰派立场,纽元/美元在回撤了11月至1月从0.56至0.61涨幅的75%以上后,可能会在0.5630附近沿趋势线找到支撑。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,并由编辑审核。)

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