纽元:新西兰储备银行的指引将支持更高的纽元 - BNY
BNY的EMEA宏观策略师Geoff Yu预计纽储行将维持利率在2.25%(2月18日),但承认市场越来越多地预期紧缩,因为通胀依然顽固。

BNY的EMEA宏观策略师Geoff Yu预计新西兰储备银行将在2.25%(2月18日)维持利率不变,但承认市场对紧缩的预期日益增强,因为通胀依然顽固。该银行认为,确认方向的转变可能有助于纽元的估值,特别是因为该货币相对被低估。RBNZ可以利用更强的交叉货币来限制可交易商品的通胀压力。

维持利率不变的RBNZ偏鹰派

"预计RBNZ将在2.25%维持利率不变,但随着市场逐渐转向定价紧缩,而通胀依然顽固。"

"然而,确认方向的变化可能有助于纽元实现更高的估值,尽管我们预计由于新西兰政策周期的性质,路径将保持波动。"

"总体而言,该货币也相对被低估,可能在交叉货币中成为一个诱人的投资位置,RBNZ可以鼓励这种情况,以限制可交易商品的通胀上涨。"

(本文由人工智能工具生成,并由编辑审核。)

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